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	<title>University admissions Archives - Johnny Rich</title>
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	<title>University admissions Archives - Johnny Rich</title>
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	<item>
		<title>My imaginary university</title>
		<link>https://johnnyrich.com/my-imaginary-university/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Johnny Rich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Feb 2024 22:06:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Careers education, information, advice & guidance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fair access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HE policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social mobility]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civic universities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[employability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[universities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[University admissions]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johnnyrich.com/?p=1321</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>I felt (quite literally) honoured recently to receive an invitation from the man who puts the ‘great’ into Paul Greatrix – none other than the Registrar of the University of Nottingham, the blogger, the podcaster and the chronicler of all things higher education.&#160; He asked me to appear on his podcast&#160;My Imaginary University. If you’re not familiar with it (where have you been?), this is the closest thing the HE sector has to&#160;Desert Island Discs. It’s a ingeniously simple format in which Paul interviews someone, invites them to make some seemingly fantastical choices and, in the process, of course, they reveal as much about themselves</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://johnnyrich.com/my-imaginary-university/">My imaginary university</a> appeared first on <a href="https://johnnyrich.com">Johnny Rich</a>.</p>
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<p><em><strong>I felt (quite literally) honoured recently to receive an invitation from the man who puts the ‘great’ into Paul Greatrix – none other than the Registrar of the University of Nottingham, the blogger, the podcaster and the chronicler of all things higher education.&nbsp;</strong></em></p>



<p><em><strong>He asked me to appear on his podcast&nbsp;</strong></em><a href="https://wonderfulhighered.com/2024/02/20/my-imaginary-university-episode-16-camford-university/"><strong>My Imaginary University</strong></a><em><strong>.</strong></em></p>



<p>If you’re not familiar with it (where have you been?), this is the closest thing the HE sector has to&nbsp;<em>Desert Island Discs</em>. It’s a ingeniously simple format in which Paul interviews someone, invites them to make some seemingly fantastical choices and, in the process, of course, they reveal as much about themselves as they do about the choices they’ve made.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Rather than picking eight tracks, a book and a luxury, in <em>My Imaginary University</em> the interviewee conjures their fantasy institution using a series of prompt question that Paul emailed me in advance. </p>



<p>At the start of each show, he explains that he hasn’t a clue what’s coming and, to my surprise, this was literally true. You have to hand it to him: he’s a class act. He conducted the interview slickly, probingly, and genuinely without notice or notes.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>



<p>I, on the other hand, did need notes. And I thought, with Paul’s permission, I might share his advance questions with you – as well as some of my own prompts to myself –&nbsp;and the notes that I made since, inevitably, not everything I had thought about made it out of my mouth and into the show. I do hope you’ll also&nbsp;<a href="https://wonderfulhighered.com/2024/02/20/my-imaginary-university-episode-16-camford-university/">listen to the podcast</a>&nbsp;itself and subscribe (because there are some excellent previous episode by far more worthy and knowledgeable guests than me).</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



<p><strong>Q: Tell us about your history. Where does your university sit? Are you ancient? Redbrick, plate glass? Post-92? A new challenger?&nbsp;</strong></p>



<p>I decided to make life easy for myself with my imaginary university, by choosing the well-established and highly prestigious Camford University, which I was delighted to be appointed to lead an unspecified number of years ago. And when I was appointed I was really clear that I wanted to radically change the university so that it meets the priorities of today rather than merely the rather narrow sector of society that it has served so brilliantly for centuries.</p>



<p><strong>Q: Your location: are you a campus uni? Urban? Rural? And what is your specific location? Are you even in the UK or are you perhaps a tiny liberal arts college in New England? Or even a thrusting start-up in Asia.</strong></p>



<p>As you know, Camford is one of the nation’s great and ancient universities, but unlike Oxford and Cambridge, it isn’t in the wealthy southern half of the country. The city of Camford has largely built up around the university over the centuries, but the surrounding region is basically post-industrial and, while traditionally we’ve welcomed some extremely well-heeled students, within 30 miles of the university there some of the country’s most deprived areas.&nbsp;</p>



<p>So, we’re keeping many of the features that make Camford such a special institution, but we’re turning it into a powerhouse of opportunity for all and a central driver for regional revival.&nbsp;</p>



<p>There are three parts to this: <strong>who studies here</strong>, <strong>the student experience</strong>, and <strong>the relationship with the local community and businesses</strong>.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: Who studies at your university?</strong></p>



<p>Our access policy is based on potential not attainment. Our admissions policy is based entirely on contextualised offers, with a preference for students from within the region.&nbsp;</p>



<p>We’re investing heavily in our outreach team and teaming up with some of the excellent third sector organisations working in access. We’re building up these long-term relationships with schools and colleges in the region to play a part in raising attainment, but also to help us recognise which pupils they have who would flourish in the environment we can provide, if only they had the chance.&nbsp;</p>



<p>We organise teaching days at the university for students from those schools and we bus them in. When they apply here, we send admission staff to them to do what we call ‘interviews’. The point of the interviews though is not solely about us selecting them or them selecting us, it’s about working out with them how best to support their idea of success in life.&nbsp;</p>



<p>The aim of these – and our whole admissions process – is to search for evidence of the potential to succeed rather than seeing if they can navigate a filtering process that’s designed to exclude. We try to ensure that, even if we can’t accept everyone, we always help them to hone their understanding of what would be the best match for them and also improve their self-presentation.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Being the best match is really important to us and some of our genius academics from our AI research centre have developed this incredible software that hunts for signals about what kinds of people are most likely to pass various milestones on the path to a good outcome. This is heavily based on comparisons with control data about people with similar backgrounds: we’re not looking to find the people most likely to ‘succeed’ – because that’s likely to be the people with the biggest head start – but rather the people who will go on the longest journey, the people where the kind of education we can offer will add the most value and be most transformative.&nbsp;</p>



<p>We could take the easy path and simply admit demonstrably brilliant students with loads of social capital, stamp them with a Camford-approved label and send them out into the world. That’s what we’ve been doing for centuries and, to be honest, it’s hard to say that we changed the course of those graduates’ lives greatly. So we’re not doing that any more. Instead, we’re looking at the taxpayers’ investment in higher education and we’re sweating it to maximise the return. Meanwhile we’re doing the same for our students so that their effort and investment gets them the biggest possible return.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Those returns, by the way, aren’t always financial. Thanks to Camford’s reputation, our graduates do tend to be higher earning on average, but we’ve also seen that our approach tends to turn out graduates who’re very focused on the communities they came from, on lifting others up and on creating things rather than pursuing extrinsic markers of ‘success’. We’re trying to make sure that social mobility in a deprived region doesn’t have to mean geographic mobility.</p>



<p><strong>Q: Tell me about your foundation years</strong></p>



<p>We extended our foundation year programme accordingly and, while most of these courses are integrated into a full degree programme, we’ve also been building up strong partnerships with other universities in the UK and around the world to channel students wherever they feel they’ll be best suited. We’re finding, however, that most do want to stay.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: Are there any novel aspects of the student experience your new recruits should expect?</strong></p>



<p>Our education is radically holistic. On the one hand, you could say it’s based on what makes our graduates employable, but it’s about a lot more than that. It’s about producing rounded people.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Employability is made up of various ingredients:&nbsp;</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Firstly, there are skills, both transferable, so-called ‘soft’ skills and more job-specific skills;&nbsp;</li>



<li>Then there’s knowledge;&nbsp;</li>



<li>Thirdly, there are more character-driven attributes, such as attitudes, values, behaviours and even personality;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>



<p>There’s a fourth ingredient that I’ll talk about in a moment. But those first three are what our education is designed to develop. You might call it &#8217;employability&#8217;, but back in the 1990s, people used to talk about ‘graduateness’ and it was the same idea. At Camford, we call it &#8217;roundedness&#8217; and we talk about having a unique individual ‘mix’ of these ingredients.</p>



<p>Becoming rounded is something that students hear about from day one… and <em>before</em>. It’s built into everything we say about our courses and the student experience. It runs through our partnerships with schools. We talk about it in interviews as a way of getting applicants to think about whether this is what they want and expect from their student experience.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Students do self-reflections and appraise themselves at key points to understand what skills, knowledge and attributes they have in their unique mix. Academics are explicit about what different course components are intended to add to students’ mix and students complete reflections afterwards to see if their mix has developed in the way they – and the academics – had hoped and expected.&nbsp;</p>



<p>This kind of self-appraisal is as important to academic progress as any summative assessments. We do have some exams, but we also have assessment through extended essays, presentations and projects. We have lots of project-based learning, often in teams. These teams are almost always interdisciplinary. As often as we can, they’re driven by practical, real world examples, providing free solutions to business challenges faced by employers, mostly from the region, but sometimes all over the world. They’re assessed by a mix of the external ‘customer’, the academic who facilitates the scheme, and peer assessments by the team.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Students are also really encouraged to engage in activities that elsewhere would be beyond their studies, but at Camford, through reflection, if you can demonstrate you’ve added to your mix, you can gain credits. So, activities like social action in the community, student representation, sports, even a part-time job can all contribute to academic credits. But you’ve got to be able to demonstrate relevant learning.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Whenever we can, the university either employs students or sets them projects that support the running of the university. For example, our timetabling every year is a major project undertaken by an interdisciplinary team. And students do most of the work planning and running open days, graduation etc.&nbsp;</p>



<p>This really helps solve some of the conflicts for students, especially our students from disadvantaged background who might otherwise feel there’s a trade-off between their work, their need to earn money and wanting to make the most of the opportunities of student life.&nbsp;</p>



<p>I mentioned that there’s a fourth ingredient to employability. That’s social capital, which is often less fair or meritocratic, but we can’t ignore it. Through our fantastic alumni network and the relationships we’re building in employers, we encourage our students to build the connections that help make up for not necessarily having the old school tie networks that Camford used to rely on.</p>



<p><strong>Q: You described the university as a regional hub. Tell me more about what that means.</strong></p>



<p>I’ve already mentioned the way we are partnering with local schools and colleges and the relationships with businesses in project-based learning. In everything we do, as far as possible, the relationship between town and gown – or more particularly county and gown – is less of a divide and more like a constant thoroughfare.&nbsp;</p>



<p>We have a lot of visiting professors from local businesses and from the public sector in the region. We also regularly do placements or secondment of academics into businesses to help them with specific challenges. There are lots of labour market gaps in the region and we helps to fill those in a flexible way that helps everyone.&nbsp;</p>



<p>We are of course also one of the great global research institutions and so we can attract funding from all over the world to our corner of the UK. We have specialist research centres in pataphysical genomics and quantum psychology&nbsp;– both very innovative and successful.&nbsp;</p>



<p>We have a special alumni-backed venture capital fund for research-based spin-outs that set up in the region.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: What&#8217;s in your prospectus and and what are some of the more interesting courses you might offer</strong>?</p>



<p>Obviously, we’re very lucky that our prospectus and website can show off lots of beautiful pictures of our stunning architecture, but the key messages are about our openness. There are no minimum requirements for any course at Camford, except being able to show the potential to thrive in our environment.</p>



<p>The prospectus also explains our philosophy of roundedness and the huge range of opportunities every student has to develop it. It explains about interdisciplinary ways of working, so may find themselves working on a project with others doing engineering, English, sociology or psychology. We have a fairly traditional and recognisable range of courses, but we do also offer an Interdisciplinary Degree where you can move around different courses and non-course activities collecting credits.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: Where do you sit in the rankings and what you are going to do about it or perhaps you don&#8217;t care?</strong></p>



<p>Traditionally, Camford has always done very well in the rankings and when I was appointed I was very clear that we might slip with our new approach, but that it was never going to be a metric for us. </p>



<p>We don’t co-operate with any rankings and we actively use our position to speak out against their misleading and heuristic approach. The fact is that if a university like Camford starts to slide down in a ranking, it will undermine the ranking more than it undermines us. So I think it’s really important that institutions like ours use our position of privilege.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>



<p>I’m very fortunate that my governing body are 100% bought in to this approach.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: What kind of VC are you in this university?</strong></p>



<p>My main role is to help keep all my brilliant team together and heading in the same direction. There are always practical challenges, brickbats, and people who don’t get it. It’s my job to take any flak and turn it around by going out and spelling out our vision. I’m the one responsible for helping everyone else stick to our sense of purpose.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Of course, that means I’m often a spokesperson, a negotiator or a motivator. Most importantly, it’s my role to bring in brilliant people who share the vision.&nbsp;For me VC stands for &#8216;Vision Captain&#8217; at least as much as &#8216;Vice Chancellor&#8217;.</p>



<p>We have a proctor who is our academic lead and a chief executive who manages the operations side.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: What about the students&#8217; union?</strong></p>



<p>The relationship is so close sometimes it doesn’t feel like the SU is all that separate from the university. As I mentioned, students are employed or involved wherever and whenever possible. Student reps sit on all committees and are partners in designing courses. If we have a major build project, students often represent the university in meetings with architects or contractors. They often earn both money and course credits doing this work.</p>



<p><strong>Q: What is the regulatory regime? Do you even care?</strong></p>



<p>We work quite closely and amicably with the OfS. The advantage of being a university like Camford is that we can have quite a lot of sway with the regulator and support them in being better at their job.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: Do you have a voice on the national stage? Do you have politicians queuing up to speak or open new labs?</strong></p>



<p>We’re in the powerful position of having excellent relationships with politicians and civil servants because, of course, many of them are Camford alumni themselves. That’s a privilege that we use to support colleagues across the sector. We’re trying to offer something unique here that&#8217;s appropriate for where we are and who we serve, but we fully recognise that diversity is a key strength of the sector.</p>



<p><strong>Q: Are there any other distinctive features we need to know about your imaginary uni? You might have a great sports team, a notable Chancellor, your own brand of gin or a colourful mascot.</strong></p>



<p>We’ve got many ancient buildings, including the largest castle hall in England – where we stage graduation ceremonies. And being ancient most of our buildings are haunted. In fact, Camford boasts the most haunted university building in the world, which now houses our Centre for Rational Research which debunks superstitious nonsense like the idea of ghosts. In recent years though it’s also become a really important centre for investigating and disproving conspiracy theories. Trump absolutely hates it.&nbsp;</p>



<p>We’ve got other unique research centres in cutting edge areas, some of which are a little way from the rest of the university. For example the Pataphysical Genomics centre took over the buildings of an old Tate and Lyle factory and is creating new jobs in what had become a run-down small town.</p>



<p>The Chancellor is a student elected by both the students and staff.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: Given that it&#8217;s an imaginary university, what are you not allowing?</strong></p>



<p>We’re not in the habit of banning anything that’s within the law and we certainly don’t believe we should treat students like children. Instead we try to give them responsibility and support. That said, we do strongly discourage fixed mindsets. If something seems too difficult, it’s about turning to others for help to learn how to do it.&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Q: Finally, and this is a compulsory question, we need to know what your university song would be?</strong></p>



<p>It was ‘I vow to thee my country’, but we put it to the students and staff and they voted for ‘change’, literally. So now it’s ‘Change’ by Taylor Swift from the <em>Fearless</em> album, which seemed appropriate enough. Personally I voted for &#8216;Heroes&#8217; by David Bowie, partly because that also seemed appropriate, but also because it’s just about the best song ever written and I thought if I’ve got to listen to it endlessly, I’d rather it’s not something I get bored of.</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



<p><em>Thanks again to Paul Greatrix (and Sophie Marshall). Do read his blog at <a href="https://wonderfulhighered.com" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Wonderful Higher Ed</a>, where you can not only find links to the <a href="https://wonderfulhighered.com/2024/02/20/my-imaginary-university-episode-16-camford-university/">My Imaginary University podcast</a>, but also to his other podcasts and blogs about True Crime on Campus, wacky rankings, and all manner of wonderful and occasionally important HE matters. </em></p>
<div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='share_buttons' data-title='My imaginary university' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/my-imaginary-university/' data-app-id-name='category_below_content'></div><div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='recommendations' data-title='My imaginary university' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/my-imaginary-university/' data-app-id-name='category_below_content'></div><p>The post <a href="https://johnnyrich.com/my-imaginary-university/">My imaginary university</a> appeared first on <a href="https://johnnyrich.com">Johnny Rich</a>.</p>
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		<title>Fairer grades</title>
		<link>https://johnnyrich.com/fairer-grades/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Johnny Rich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Apr 2021 16:19:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Admissions and access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Covid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fair access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HE policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opportunity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[admissions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fair access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[University admissions]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johnnyrich.com/?p=909</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Will emergency measures prove to have been the key to fairer admissions, based on potential more than performance?</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://johnnyrich.com/fairer-grades/">Fairer grades</a> appeared first on <a href="https://johnnyrich.com">Johnny Rich</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='share_buttons' data-title='Fairer grades' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/fairer-grades/' data-summary='Will emergency measures prove to have been the key to fairer admissions, based on potential more than performance?' data-app-id-name='category_above_content'></div>
<p><i style="font-weight: 600;">Will emergency measures prove&nbsp;to have&nbsp;</i><span style="font-weight: 600;"><i>been the</i></span><i style="font-weight: 600;">&nbsp;key to fairer admissions, based on potential more than performance? </i></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 600;"><em>A slightly shorter version of <a href="https://wonkhe.com/blogs/build-back-higher-regulation/">this blog originally appeared on Wonkhe</a> as part of its &#8216;Build Back Higher&#8217; series of short articles about the potential positive impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on UK higher education</em>. &nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator"/>



<div class="wp-block-image"><figure class="alignright size-large is-resized"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/boston-baked-beans-671041_1920-edited.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-911" width="335" height="284" srcset="https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/boston-baked-beans-671041_1920-edited.jpg 670w, https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/boston-baked-beans-671041_1920-edited-300x254.jpg 300w, https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/boston-baked-beans-671041_1920-edited-425x360.jpg 425w" sizes="(max-width: 335px) 100vw, 335px" /></figure></div>



<p>In the face of the difficult logistics of feeding his troops, Napoleon looked for innovations to ensure his forces could carry supplies that would remain edible over lengthy campaigns. As a result, margarine was developed as a substitute for the more perishable butter and the canning process was invented. Without war, we would not have baked beans. </p>



<p>As the clichés have it, desperate times call for desperate measures and necessity is the mother of invention.</p>



<p>The pandemic has undoubtedly driven a host of inventive approaches to teaching, assessment and much else that we may want to keep. But surely no one will ever hail the exams debacle of 2020 and the centre-assessed grades that followed as a welcome&nbsp;novelty?</p>



<p>Maybe we should. One day, we might look back on this cohort as the experiment we never could have done otherwise. 2020 may be the year in which almost everyone got the grade they had the potential to get, rather than what they scored on the day of an exam, when they were ill or the exam room was too hot, or when they were fine, but their examiner’s dog had just died.</p>



<p>As Denis Sherwood (<a href="https://twitter.com/noookophile" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@nookophile</a>) has shown, <a href="https://www.hepi.ac.uk/2020/08/18/cags-rule-ok/">almost half of all exam grades in some subjects are wrong</a> and even Ofqual’s head, Dame Glenys Stacey has acknowledged that <a href="https://committees.parliament.uk/event/1755/formal-meeting-oral-evidence-session/">exam results have a fuzziness of a grade either way</a>.</p>



<p>Meanwhile good teachers know their pupils and understand what they’re capable of at their best. Surely students should be admitted to university based on what they might achieve if given a chance rather than as a prize-giving ceremony for one day’s performance.</p>



<p>I’d like to think that after this year we will revisit Level 3 assessments (that’s A-Level and their equivalents, but it applies to other levels too, for that matter) and ask whether summative exams tell us what we need to know in order to allocate places in higher education fairly. We’ll reconsider the role of continual assessment and, rather than dismiss teachers’ professionalism, we’ll work harder to eliminate any bias in their judgements (because it’s not as if examiners are immune to bias).</p>



<p>As a result of pandemic panic grading, this year’s entry cohort may turn out to be the most diverse yet and if their learning proves to be as successful as other years, it will be hard to argue why student recruitment shouldn’t take more account of context and less of exam results.</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator"/>



<p><em>For further reading on this topic I recommend <a href="https://twitter.com/markcorver" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Mark Corver</a>&#8216;s brilliant analysis of admissions driven by predicted grades in HEPI&#8217;s recent collection of essays <a href="https://www.hepi.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Where-next-for-university-admissions_Hepi-Report-136_FINAL2.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Where next for university admissions?</a>  </em></p>


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		<title>University admissions: what&#8217;s the real problem?</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Johnny Rich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Mar 2021 21:58:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Admissions and access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Careers education, information, advice & guidance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fair access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HE policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Student choice]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Clearing]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Data presented by UCAS's Chief Executive Clare Marchant shows starkly the correlation between clearing and drop-out...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://johnnyrich.com/university-admissions-whats-the-real-problem/">University admissions: what&#8217;s the real problem?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://johnnyrich.com">Johnny Rich</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='share_buttons' data-title='University admissions: what&#039;s the real problem?' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/university-admissions-whats-the-real-problem/' data-summary='Data presented by UCAS&#039;s Chief Executive Clare Marchant shows starkly the correlation between clearing and drop-out...' data-app-id-name='category_above_content'></div>
<p><strong>This slide, presented by UCAS&#8217;s Chief Executive Clare Marchant at a recent event hosted by <a href="http://wonkhe.com">Wonkhe</a> on higher education admissions, shows starkly the correlation between clearing and drop-out that I have been banging on about since the 1990s.</strong></p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" width="1024" height="357" src="https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Screenshot-2021-03-02-at-15.43.42-1-1024x357.png" alt="" class="wp-image-886" srcset="https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Screenshot-2021-03-02-at-15.43.42-1-1024x357.png 1024w, https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Screenshot-2021-03-02-at-15.43.42-1-300x105.png 300w, https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Screenshot-2021-03-02-at-15.43.42-1-768x268.png 768w, https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Screenshot-2021-03-02-at-15.43.42-1-1536x536.png 1536w, https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Screenshot-2021-03-02-at-15.43.42-1-2048x714.png 2048w, https://johnnyrich.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Screenshot-2021-03-02-at-15.43.42-1-425x148.png 425w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption>Image: UCAS</figcaption></figure>


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<div>In actual fact, it doesn&#8217;t quite show that.</div>
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<div>What it does show is a clear link between those students who drop-out and those students who arrive at university specifically through the &#8216;direct to clearing&#8217; (DTC) route. This is an unusual pathway, often used by students other than your typical decent-grades-18-year-old school-leaver. So there would be nothing surprising if their outcomes in terms of drop-out weren&#8217;t the same as other students. In other words, it is conceivable that the correlation between clearing and drop-out is peculiar to (or more pronounced among) DTC applicants.</div>
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<div>I don&#8217;t think so and I have good evidence for thinking otherwise. For several years around the turn of the millennium, Push published data showing that what we called &#8216;flunk rates&#8217; (the percentage who drop-out or fail) and the proportion of students that each HEI admitted through clearing (using data that the universities themselves supplied). The two datasets had a correlation coefficient of 0.91 – in other words, they were close to identical lists.</div>


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<div>The media was understandably very interested and&nbsp;I did the media rounds trying to let the figures speak for themselves.</div>
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<div>Most universities, even those who had provided their clearing data to Push, dismissed or denied any meaningful link. There were some notable exceptions – vice-chancellors who, rather than blame the messenger, recognised that there may be a problem here.&nbsp;</div>


<div> </div>
<div>All I was trying to say was that the data suggested that hasty choices might lead to regret and students without their hoped-for grades should be cautious if looking for clearing options and should consider reapplying instead. </div>


<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>Meanwhile, UCAS itself was also disputing the connection, promoting the line that clearing was the best way to get a university place if you hadn&#8217;t made your grades. To be fair, they were relying on data that was even less complete than mine.</div>



<div> </div>
<div>Push had surveyed the universities themselves, asking them to self-declare the proportion accepted through clearing. Around two-thirds responded and the numbers that were being reported to us were, on average about 75% higher than UCAS&#8217;s data suggested. Bearing in mind that one might imagine that those universities with the highest clearing rates might be the least likely to share their data, it appeared that the official clearing process was recording perhaps less than half the numbers accepted through that route.</div>
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<div>What&#8217;s more, the proportion entering through clearing appears to have grown since then (as student numbers have continued to rise), although even that growth may merely be the true scale of clearing being more accurately recorded. Even now though, there is what Mark Corver (<a href="https://datahe.uk">DataHE</a>&#8216;s admissions number-cruncher extraordinaire) calls <a href="https://wonkhe.com/blogs/the-thickening-fog-of-the-ucas-rpas/">a &#8220;twilight zone of UCAS data&#8221;</a> – the RPAs or &#8216;record of prior acceptance&#8217; students – and that number is also growing. If the number of students entering through clearing really is rising, it may mean the proportion of students who end up dropping out will rise too.</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>At this point, let me make it absolutely clear: correlation is not causation and I&#8217;m not claiming it is.</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>It is perfectly possible that arriving through clearing is not the reason why students drop out. Indeed, I&#8217;d go so far as to say that, even if it is <em>a</em> reason, it is not the only one. Maybe, for example, clearing gets you into universities whose drop-out rate is higher for an unrelated reason; maybe those who more likely to drop-out are more likely to opt to enter through clearing; or maybe clearing and drop-out share a separate unconnected cause, such as being less well advised.</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>That said, it didn&#8217;t take a genius to see that rash choices were being made by students and universities alike and that there were (and still are) a lot of poor matches arising from the chaos of clearing.&nbsp;</div>



<div>This has really important repercussions as we consider switching to a system of post-qualifications admissions (PQA).</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>Drop-out is only ever the tip of the iceberg. Most students battle on regardless. After all, let&#8217;s remember what drop-out means: you&#8217;ve got the student debts, you&#8217;ve probably blown your chance of being state-funded throughout a degree, and yet you&#8217;ve got nothing to show for it. Worse that that, you have a black hole in your CV which employers might (unfairly) look on as a mark of failure. &nbsp;</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>Behind the drop-out data, there are thousands of stories of hopes shattered and opportunities dashed. And for every person that drops out, there are many more for whom higher education has been so much less than it could or should have been.&nbsp;</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>That&#8217;s why the admissions system must deliver good matches between students and unis.</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>It is also why the Department for Education&#8217;s unequivocal support for PQA is ill-thought out. The last time the government was beguiled into thinking PQA was a good idea (in 2011), at least they had the sense to announce an investigation first rather than preempting any consideration of the practicalities. This time, the Secretary of State announced a consultation would be launched in advance of the introduction of PQA (betraying either a misunderstanding or contempt for the point of consultations). &nbsp;</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>PQA does look very attractive in principle because it is assumed to mean an end to predicted grades and clearing.&nbsp;&nbsp;However, in practice it probably means an end to neither – and, while failing to make anything better, it might make other matters far worse. &nbsp;&nbsp;</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>Teachers would still need to use predicted grades to &#8216;guide&#8217; students to consider applying to HEIs that might accept them – which would need to be done in advance of actual grades so that students could visit them in order to make an informed choice. &nbsp;</div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>While that means HEIs would not be using predictions to make offers, students would still be using them to make applications. The supposed unfairness and lack of reliability of predictions would still be a big factor, but they&#8217;d be even less transparent and harder to mitigate. In any case, as <a href="https://www.hepi.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Where-next-for-university-admissions_Hepi-Report-136_FINAL2.pdf">Mark Corver (again) has effectively argued</a>, predicted grades are perhaps no less imperfect that actual grades and any bias may not be quite as <a href="https://www.ucu.org.uk/media/8409/Predicted-grades-accuracy-and-impact-Dec-16/pdf/Predicted_grades_report_Dec2016.pdf">Gill Wyness</a>, among others, has argued.</div>



<div> </div>
<div>Furthermore, unless you shift the date that grades are published and/or the academic year start by months, you&#8217;d be compressing application activity into a matter of a few weeks. In other words, rather than no clearing, <em>everyone</em> would be in clearing. </div>



<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>Not only would clearing have to sort about eight times as many applicants, but they would have to go through the whole application system without the support and guidance of their schools and colleges which, by then, the students would have left.</div>



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<div>There are ways that PQA could be made to work&nbsp;(I&#8217;ve&nbsp;<a href="https://johnnyrich.com/why-pqa-should-not-be-pdq">written on this blog</a> about this), but, unsurprisingly, it&#8217;s neither as simple nor as attractive as Gavin Williamson&#8217;s announcement seemed to assume it to be. It would take more far more fundamental and far-reaching changes to post-16 education. (We can chalk this up to the long list of reasons why radical reform might be a good idea, even though no government is ever likely to grasp those nettles and use them to make nettle pyjamas.)</div>



<div> </div>
<div>DfE imagines that what needs fixing about admissions is the unconditional offers and unreliability of predictions. In fact, the more serious problems are those connected with poor choices about what and where to study. These build  higher hidden hurdles for the disadvantaged. All applicants need to be able to make well informed, supported choices over time.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>


<div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='share_buttons' data-title='University admissions: what&#039;s the real problem?' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/university-admissions-whats-the-real-problem/' data-summary='Data presented by UCAS&#039;s Chief Executive Clare Marchant shows starkly the correlation between clearing and drop-out...' data-app-id-name='category_below_content'></div><div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='recommendations' data-title='University admissions: what&#039;s the real problem?' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/university-admissions-whats-the-real-problem/' data-summary='Data presented by UCAS&#039;s Chief Executive Clare Marchant shows starkly the correlation between clearing and drop-out...' data-app-id-name='category_below_content'></div><p>The post <a href="https://johnnyrich.com/university-admissions-whats-the-real-problem/">University admissions: what&#8217;s the real problem?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://johnnyrich.com">Johnny Rich</a>.</p>
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		<title>Why PQA should not be PDQ</title>
		<link>https://johnnyrich.com/why-pqa-should-not-be-pdq/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Johnny Rich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2013 19:46:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Admissions and access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HE policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clearing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PQA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[University admissions]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://johnnyrich.com/?p=395</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>How solving a small problem like clearing could help solve a big one like youth unemployment:&#160;This is an article I wrote some time ago for a publication which never used it because, while it was waiting to be published, UCAS announced the results of its consultation on its proposals for a post-qualification application process. That consultation – quite rightly – dismissed those proposals as effectively not removing the clearing process, but putting everyone into it. PQA was off the table and my modest proposal below never saw the light of day. Outside of old people’s homes and Daily Mail editorial meetings, it’s not that fashionable</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://johnnyrich.com/why-pqa-should-not-be-pdq/">Why PQA should not be PDQ</a> appeared first on <a href="https://johnnyrich.com">Johnny Rich</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='share_buttons' data-title='Why PQA should not be PDQ' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/why-pqa-should-not-be-pdq/' data-app-id-name='category_above_content'></div>
<p><strong><em>How solving a small problem like clearing could help solve a big one like youth unemployment:&nbsp;</em></strong><em>This is an article I wrote some time ago for a publication which never used it because, while it was waiting to be published, UCAS announced the results of its consultation on its proposals for a post-qualification application process. That consultation – quite rightly – dismissed those proposals as effectively not removing the clearing process, but putting everyone into it. PQA was off the table and my modest proposal below never saw the light of day.</em></p>



<p>Outside of old people’s homes and Daily Mail editorial meetings, it’s not that fashionable these days to call for a return of National Service, but that’s just what I’m going to do. Sort of. Bear with me.<br></p>



<p>It all starts with university clearing. Who is exactly is it supposed to help? Universities? Students? UCAS? Because it isn’t working.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>During clearing, wannabe students who haven’t found places through the usual admissions system make rash choices about courses and institutions. The correlation between the proportion a uni accepts through clearing and their flunk rate suggests strongly that these are decisions the students – or possibly the universities – come to regret.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>Poor choices don’t help universities either. Sure, they put bums on seats, keeping undersubscribed courses ticking over till the next year of unwilling students land in front of an increasingly demoralised lecturer. But universities know deep down that they should be making their offering available to the students for whom it is most suited, not those left on the shelf by the admissions system.<br></p>



<p>Even UCAS – normally a well oiled machine (or at least a reliable clockwork automaton) – has its cogs stressed by the disorderly panic of students without places and places without students. It can descend into chaos. A couple of years ago a student told me he had been offered a place during clearing at a university that shall remain nameless after failing the A level in his chosen degree subject. The university told him, “Well, at least you failed in the right subject”.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>Clearing is like a jumble sale: a lot of people get hurt in the crush to buy something most people wouldn’t want.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>I’m not saying there are no bargains to be had. Many of the courses on offer during clearing are well taught courses which would benefit certain students greatly in developing themselves and their employability. However, clearing is not the best way for those niche students and niche courses to find each other.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>And who does it hurt most? The students who are most desperate and least well advised. The ones for who the cost of going to university is challenging enough already and the prospect of extra fees because they have dropped out of a course will be disastrous. In other words, it’s those same students from deprived or non-traditional backgrounds who are constantly disenfranchised by the system.<br></p>



<p>So what can we do instead? The Government and UCAS have been absolutely right to explore the possibility of a post-qualification admissions system (PQA), but UCAS’s current plan runs the risk of making matters worse by effectively shoving everyone into “New Improved Clearing (now with added weeks!)” rather than taking anyone out of it.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>There is no way around the problem that A levels take time to teach and can only be fully assessed at the end of teaching, that assessment takes time and a well considered admissions process also takes time. There’s just not enough time in the system before the start of the university year in Autumn.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>So, how about we start the year at, well, the start of the year? Or how about different institutions offer different start times? Some might even offer a choice of starting points. Whenever the year starts, the admissions process runs from August (when results are published) to December and you start university as soon after that as the institution offers a starting date.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>But hold on, what do we do with all these errant youths who’ll now have nothing better to do with themselves but tear up our streets while they wait for term to begin? That’s where National Service comes in.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>I’m not suggesting military service nor even a compulsory conscription into any activity. I’m suggesting that it would be good to introduce a period when young people have the explicit opportunity to improve either themselves, their society or both. Similar National Social Service schemes already operate in many countries including, very successfully, in Germany.<br></p>



<p>This particular stone could slaughter many birds. Employers bemoan the lack of employment skills and work experience among graduates. Academics grumble about their inability to spell or speak clearly. In this mini-gap year, students could play catch-up on these skills (or learn a language or improve their computer wizardry). They could do voluntary work, travel (if they can afford it) or just get a job for a while. The point is that they would be free to focus on what will make them more rounded, employable people.&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>In order to work, the Government would have to establish a programme of opportunities – with funding. Certain activities, depending on their social benefit or potential for personal development would attract a small grant for the school leaver. So, for example, for doing a six-month course in business skills, working as an unpaid trainee in a crèche or volunteering for an environmental charity, a school leaver might get £40 a week, say (not perhaps so different from the EMA that the Government possibly now regrets despatching so hastily).&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>Everyone (including those who have no intention of going to university) would have the opportunity to do up to six months of such activities during their year after leaving school. And if they choose activities that aren’t on the Government’s list of supported schemes, but rather swan off backpacking in the Punjab or doing other Gap Yah jollies, then that’s fine, but they’re not entitled to the grant.<br></p>



<p>As a scheme this is intended not merely to slice up the Clearing problem, but also to fry some much bigger fish in the process: the skills gap and the (supposed) lack of engagement in society among our young people. It would involve a willingness to embrace change on the part of our universities (but possibly only among those who suffer at the hands of the clearing system).&nbsp;<br></p>



<p>It would also need money from the public purse. However, the costs would not be as high as all that and when compared with the savings and the investment (the flunking students, the dole pay-outs, the better qualified workforce, the free work done on social projects, etc), it looks like a good deal. What’s more, it’s got Big Society written all over it and simply the words ‘National Service’ might raise the pulses of Tory vote-wranglers, so, who knows? Maybe the Government could get behind it.</p>



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<div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='share_buttons' data-title='Why PQA should not be PDQ' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/why-pqa-should-not-be-pdq/' data-app-id-name='category_below_content'></div><div style='display:none;' class='shareaholic-canvas' data-app='recommendations' data-title='Why PQA should not be PDQ' data-link='https://johnnyrich.com/why-pqa-should-not-be-pdq/' data-app-id-name='category_below_content'></div><p>The post <a href="https://johnnyrich.com/why-pqa-should-not-be-pdq/">Why PQA should not be PDQ</a> appeared first on <a href="https://johnnyrich.com">Johnny Rich</a>.</p>
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